August 12 2022 🕓 8 min
SPX bearish thesis – Do not be fooled by inflation report
In this analysis we will release our base case for S&500, which is in our view, undoubtedly high. Market believes there will be a soft landing. We disagree.
Tag: fed
August 11 2022 🕓 3 min
Stocks may fall further despite the inflation drop
While investors celebrate the low unemployment rate and slowing inflation in the US, interest rates could still do some harm to stocks.
August 8 2022 🕓 10 min
Weekly macro report – Job report makes the Fed confident
In our macro report we analyse the impact of labour market to additional probability of Fed´s tightening process and trade ideas.
August 5 2022 🕓 2 min
Gold’s volatility rises with tensions in Taiwan
The price of gold is volatile thanks to the geopolitical tensions in Taiwan, the global economic slowdown, and the Fed's monetary policy.
August 1 2022 🕓 8 min
Weekly macro report – What did the Fed cause?
In the current macro report, we focused on the detailed analysis of the Fed hike and its forward guidance still confirming our bond thesis.
July 29 2022 🕓 3 min
Commodities on the way to erase monthly losses
A turbulent July for markets. Especially for commodities. A significant decline in the first half, but Fed helped.
July 29 2022 🕓 4 min
Interest rates are rising and so is crypto
Despite the overall economic and political situation in the world, cryptocurrencies are experiencing very solid price growth. Why?
July 28 2022 🕓 3 min
Fed raises interest rates by 75 basis points
The US Federal Reserve raises its key interest rate by 75 basis points to a range of 2.25% to 2.50%. The move was expected.
July 27 2022 🕓 5 min
Weekly macro report – calm before the storm
Flash PMI and new orders are showing slight economic slowdown. Will the Fed hike aggressively into such recessionary data?
July 26 2022 🕓 3 min
Gold reacts against standard definitions
Gold's reactions to Fed rate decisions in time showed a big surprise against standard definitions. Wednesday could be a volatile day.
July 21 2022 🕓 3 min
ECB raised interest rates for the first time in 11 years
ECB followed the steps of other central banks and raised interest rates by 0.5%, ending the long period of zero or negative rates.
July 20 2022 🕓 3 min
Is EUR/USD at the beginning of a giant uptrend?
Eurodollar fell to parity for the first time in 20 years. Fed and ECB are now on the mission to stabilize the economy.