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Unpopular opinion: Is Bitcoin heading to 30 000 USD?

Can Bitcoin be heading to 30 000 USD? A question that is not very trendy right now, but that does not mean that its not worthy examining.

The horrific weekly chart 

Looking at the weekly chart, the price is very far from 30 000 USD and this support, which held us for more than a year, broke.

Read also: Crypto news summary: 19-25 June

For the first time in its history, Bitcoin has fallen below the ATH of the previous cycle (2017 ATH at 20 000 USD). This level was once again a very strong support which seems to be holding pretty well even though Bitcoin has fallen below it few times. Yet, the weekly chart shows that the whole 2021 bull market has been erased.

TradingView Chart

1W chart of Bitcoin, Source: Author’s analysis, tradingview.com

Zooming in to 1D chart

When zoomed in to 1D chart, the price is clearly below the trendline as well as the MA21. This means that we just cannot be very bullish yet. However, the biggest liquidity for this chart is at the levels of 28 000 to 30 000 USD. Due to its importance, its is logical to expect that the market will move there sooner or later.

TradingView Chart

1D chart of Bitcoin, Source: Author’s analysis, tradingview.com

The chart clearly shows that the downtrend has been very strong and that possible retracement might be on its way. There is not a single asset class that can be constantly moving down. Once the retracement or even reversal comes, we should be looking at the 28-30K resistance as one of the most important levels to break on the way up.

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No signs of significant movement at 4h chart

Zooming even more in, the range structure is showing, which is similar to few previous instances. The range structure in the chart usually signifies continuation of the strong movement. The markets tend to be balanced in general which means that after a strong move, a bit of boredom is expected. This is very common for Bitcoin. Unless we break out of this range, Bitcoin will only move sideways and the market as such will not move significantly.

TradingView Chart

4h chart of Bitcoin, Source: Author’s analysis, tradingview.com

Jakub is a crypto trader and founder of Trader 2.0 project, which helps hundreds of traders from central Europe to understand cryptocurrency trading and its challenges. Jakub not o...

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