Markets can sink more
According to the survey of Bank of America, investors are expecting a deeper misery in the markets. Today, global profit expectations are the weakest since September 2008, the time when the GFC happened. The S&P 500 has lost about 20% of its value since the beginning of the year and many believe that with Fed being extra hawkish, this may continue.
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Eurozone Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to 48.9 in September of 2022 from 49.8 in August, and Germany Services PMI also dropped to 45.4 from 47.7. UK Services PMI also falls from 50.9 to 49.2, but France surprises with a rebound from 51.2 to 53.
Doug Ramsey, the COO of Beyond Meat, was detained this weekend. Ramsey is accused of biting a man’s nose in a parking garage in Arkansas following a college football game. He was lodged in the Washington County jail after being accused of third-degree battery.
Spain’s trade deficit increased from EUR 1.60 billion in July 2021 to EUR 6.56 billion in July 2022. Spain’s imports rose 37.1% to an almost record high. This created the greatest trade deficit since December 2008, led by energy products, capital goods, non-chemical semi-manufactures, food, drinks and tobacco.
The annual inflation rate in the Euro Area was confirmed at a record of 9.1% in August of 2022, compared to 8.9% in July. The highest contribution came from energy again. The Eurodollar holds around the parity level.
Today, President Joe Biden will announce the approval of $900 million funding for building EV charging stations. It should take place in 35 states and is a part of $1 trillion infrastructure bill that was approved in November of last year. Over the next 5 years about $5 billion will be granted to states to build thousands of EV charging stations.
In August 2022, the annual inflation rate in the Czech Republic decreased for the first time in 14 months to 17.2% from 17.5%, well below the market expectations of 17.6%. So it looks like 7% interest rates are starting to affect their inflation, and it’s coming back down.
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Worries about limited global supply helped WTI crude futures rise 2% to $80, pulling away from 9-month lows at $76 earlier this week. Hurricane Ian caused a reduction in US crude output of around 190,000 barrels per day, or 11% of the Gulf’s total.
The Bank of England announced that it would start making temporary purchases of long-term UK government bonds on September 28 in order to restore orderly market conditions. The British pound remained volatile, first rising to above $1.08 before dropping to $1.05.
Leaders in Europe thought the two explosions that destroyed the pipelines used to transport Russian natural gas to Europe were intentional. However, some officials accused the Kremlin of being behind the explosions, saying they were meant to be a warning to Europe. Meanwhile, EU gas is up 13% on Wednesday.
European equities markets declined sharply, with the German stock index DAX hitting a two-year low of 12,000. The stock index is pressured by the hawkish monetary policy of central banks, which could draw DAX even lower.
The Indian rupee hit a record low of 81.7 and is on track with the retreat of riskier currencies. This is due to recession fears and expectations of a hawkish Federal Reserve policy. Pressure on the rupee is also contributed to an increase in capital outflows from the country.
After four straight days of losses due to concerns about future Russian supply, EU gas futures spiked 8% near €190. This may be due to the Nord Stream report of a pressure reduction at the two lines of Nord Stream and one line of Nord Stream 2.