China will produce more coal again
China’s coal production increased by 5.8% during the initial 2 months of 2023 compared to the same time frame a year earlier. According to government data released on Wednesday, the increase was attributed to the introduction of new mining capacity and Beijing’s encouragement of miners to increase production in hopes of enhancing energy security.
China, the world’s largest coal producer and user, produced 734.23 million metric tonnes of the fuel during January and February, up from 686.6 million metric tonnes during the same time in 2022, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). This is equal to 12,44 million metric tonnes daily.
The production is down from 12,99 million metric tonnes daily in December, as coal producers reduced or even ceased operations over the Lunar New Year break in January. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has also forced Beijing to place a greater emphasis on energy security.
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Miners increased output in expectation of a rise in demand once COVID-19 limits were lifted at the end of 2022. This year, the government authorized 260 million metric tonnes of additional mining operations capacity and revived a number of mines that had been closed. This year, the government authorized 260 million metric tonnes of additional mining operations capacity and revived a number of mines that had been closed.
Environmentalists of the US are moving forward
The US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) approved a rule requiring industrial sites and power plants in 23 states to reduce their smog-forming nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions on Wednesday. Affected power stations will engage in a revamped ozone season trading scheme beginning in 2023.
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Beginning in 2024, the EPA would gradually tighten emission limitations to incentivize the phased deployment of pollution controls. Starting with the ozone season of 2026, the EPA will establish NOx emission control regulations for both current and future emissions sources, including cement kilns and solid waste incinerators.
Chinese mining dominated by bears
Shanxi and Inner Mongolia, China’s two most productive mining regions, have pledged to increase output by at least 5% and 2%, respectively, this year. The rising production seems to have not met its demand so far and the Chinese company broke through the 200-day average downwards.
This sharp downward action at the 12 level formed a support below the 12.77 200 day average. In case the bears break through, we can expect the price go lowetowards the 11 area. Bulls might use this as an opportunity for correction movement and use the 200 day averarge price as their target.
Shanxi mining company 1W chart, source: tradingview.com, author’s analysis